104 lines
3.0 KiB
Markdown
104 lines
3.0 KiB
Markdown
---
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name: Polymarket
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description: "通过CLI查询Polymarket预测市场赔率和事件。搜索市场、获取当前价格、按类别列出事件。支持体育博彩（NFL、NBA、足球/英超、欧冠）、政治、加密货币、选举、地缘政治。真钱市场比民意调查更准确。无需API密钥。当被问及赔率、概率、预测或"X的可能性有多大"时使用。"
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---
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# Polymarket Prediction Markets
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Query real-time odds from Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market.
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## Quick Start
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```bash
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# Search for markets (instant via /public-search API)
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polymarket search "Arsenal FC"
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polymarket search "Super Bowl"
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polymarket search "Bitcoin"
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polymarket search "Trump"
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# Browse by category
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polymarket events --tag=sports
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polymarket events --tag=crypto
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polymarket events --tag=politics
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# Get specific market details
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polymarket market will-bitcoin-reach-100k
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```
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The CLI is at `polymarket.mjs` in this skill folder. Run with:
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```bash
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node /path/to/skill/polymarket.mjs <command>
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```
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## Commands
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| Command | Description |
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|---------|-------------|
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| `search <query>` | Search markets by keyword (recommended) |
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| `events [options]` | List active events |
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| `market <slug>` | Get market details by slug |
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| `tags` | List available categories |
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| `price <token_id>` | Get current price for a token |
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| `book <token_id>` | Get orderbook depth |
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## Event Options
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- `--tag=<slug>` - Filter by category (crypto, politics, sports, etc.)
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- `--limit=<n>` - Maximum results (default: 20)
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## Understanding Odds
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Prices = Probabilities:
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- 0.65 (65¢) = 65% chance of "Yes"
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- Volume = total $ traded
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- Liquidity = available $ in orderbook
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## Individual Match Betting
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Polymarket has individual match markets for soccer, NFL, NBA, and more.
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```bash
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# Soccer - use "FC" suffix for team names
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polymarket search "Arsenal FC"
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polymarket search "Manchester United FC"
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polymarket search "Liverpool FC"
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# NFL/NBA - team name works
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polymarket search "Patriots"
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polymarket search "Chiefs"
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polymarket search "Lakers"
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```
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**Market types available:**
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- **Moneyline**: Win/Draw/Lose percentages
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- **Spreads**: e.g., Arsenal -1.5
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- **Totals**: Over/Under 2.5 goals
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- **BTTS**: Both Teams to Score
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## Common Categories
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| Tag | Markets |
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|-----|---------|
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| `sports` | NFL, NBA, soccer, tennis, etc. |
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| `politics` | Elections, legislation, appointments |
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| `crypto` | Price targets, ETFs, regulations |
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| `business` | IPOs, acquisitions, earnings |
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| `tech` | Product launches, AI developments |
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## API Reference
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The CLI uses these public endpoints (no auth required):
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- **Search**: `GET /public-search?q=<query>` - keyword search
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- **Events**: `GET /events?active=true&closed=false` - list events
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- **Markets**: `GET /markets?slug=<slug>` - market details
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- **Tags**: `GET /tags` - available categories
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Base URL: `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com`
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## Notes
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- Real money markets tend to be more accurate than polls/pundits
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- Odds update in real-time as people trade
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- Markets resolve to $1.00 (correct) or $0.00 (incorrect)
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