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Dragan Spiridonov
40d2930005
Source-verified in /workspaces/ruflo: the flywheel already refuses to promote a
candidate whose paired candidate-vs-baseline delta isn't significant —
`significant = bootstrapDeltaCILow(paired holdout deltas) > 0`, rule accept/v1+sig,
one-sided 95% paired bootstrap, n>=20 (evolve-proof.ts:174-183). That is STRONGER
than the unpaired ANOVA we were going to contribute (2-group ANOVA F = t², and it
drops the pairing). Our premise ("maybe ruflo promotes noise") was wrong.
Outcome: NO contribution PR (would be redundant and weaker). Corrects the strategy
report's open-Q #3 (ruflo's flywheel IS rigorously DoE-validated) and retires the
M3.1 action. The draft is kept, marked superseded, documenting the one genuinely-
additive idea (an ANOVA candidate-SELECTION veto) and why it's a bigger, replay-
verifier-touching change — deferred, not pursued.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>